{"id":18674,"date":"2026-09-22T09:36:27","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T06:36:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/covasna45.ro\/?p=18674"},"modified":"2026-09-22T09:37:20","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T06:37:20","slug":"siegfried-muresan-premier-majoritate-miza-politica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/covasna45.ro\/index.php\/opinii\/siegfried-muresan-premier-majoritate-miza-politica\/","title":{"rendered":"Siegfried Mure\u0219an, jocul politic \u0219i majoritatea care nu exist\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Siegfried Mure\u0219an este premier desemnat. Are trei partide \u00een spate. Numai c\u0103 cele trei partide nu au suficiente voturi pentru a-l face premier. Mure\u0219an are zece zile s\u0103 ajung\u0103 \u00een Parlament \u0219i s\u0103 cear\u0103 votul de \u00eenvestitur\u0103. Dar PNL, USR \u0219i UDMR au \u00eempreun\u0103 169 de parlamentari. Pentru \u00eenvestirea Guvernului sunt necesare 233 de voturi. Lipsesc 64.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nu sunt trei, cinci sau zece parlamentari pe care s\u0103-i g\u0103se\u0219ti prin negocieri individuale, pe holurile Parlamentului. Sunt 64. Adic\u0103 este nevoie de un partid serios sau de o bucat\u0103 serioas\u0103 dintr-un partid. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

PSD spune c\u0103 nu voteaz\u0103 guvernul Siegfried Mure\u0219an. AUR spune c\u0103 vrea anticipate. \u0218i atunci de unde ar putea s\u0103 vin\u0103 voturile? Dac\u0103 PSD \u0219i AUR nu voteaz\u0103 guvernul, guvernul nu va trece. Nu are de unde aduna voturile necesare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0218i atunci? De ce a fost desemnat Siegfried Mure\u0219an? <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Pre\u0219edintele Nicu\u0219or Dan poate spera la o reconciliere \u00eentre partide? Greu de crezut, de aceea au fost consult\u0103ri, ca s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i stabileasc\u0103 fiecare juc\u0103tor pozi\u021bia \u0219i condi\u021biile. \u0218i atunci? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pre\u0219edintele a pus pe mas\u0103 o condi\u021bie clar\u0103: Rom\u00e2nia trebuie s\u0103 aib\u0103 un guvern prooccidental. PNL, USR \u0219i UDMR se definesc ca partide prooccidentale. Numai c\u0103 \u0219i PSD este greu de a\u0219ezat \u00een cealalt\u0103 tab\u0103r\u0103. Rom\u00e2nia a intrat \u00een NATO \u00een martie 2004, \u00een timpul guvern\u0103rii PSD conduse de Adrian N\u0103stase. Tot atunci au fost finalizate negocierile pentru aderarea la Uniunea European\u0103. Tratatul a fost semnat \u00een 2005, iar Rom\u00e2nia a devenit membr\u0103 UE \u00een 2007.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nu spun c\u0103 PSD a dus singur Rom\u00e2nia \u00een NATO \u0219i UE. A fost un proiect construit de mai multe guverne \u0219i sus\u021binut de principalele partide. Dar nici nu putem scoate PSD din fotografia prooccidental\u0103 c\u00e2nd fotografia nu ne convine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dac\u0103 vrem o majoritate prooccidental\u0103, de ce nu ar intra \u0219i PSD \u00een actuala construc\u021bie? Cred c\u0103 aici sunt posibile dou\u0103 r\u0103spunsuri. Primul – PSD are cei mai mul\u021bi parlamentari \u0219i consider\u0103 legitim s\u0103 cear\u0103 func\u021bia de premier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al doilea r\u0103spuns \u021bine de atitudinea juc\u0103torilor. P\u00e2n\u0103 foarte recent, pentru Siegfried Mure\u0219an PSD era un partener de neacceptat. Pe 20 august spunea c\u0103 \u201ePSD nu trebuie s\u0103 revin\u0103 la guvernare\u201d, iar pe 16 septembrie compara invitarea PSD la guvernare cu situa\u021bia \u00een care Putin l-ar invita pe Zelenski s\u0103 se al\u0103ture Rusiei. Acum, ajuns premier desemnat \u0219i av\u00e2nd nevoie de voturi, Mure\u0219an spune c\u0103 este \u201efiresc\u201d s\u0103 fie deschis dialogului cu PSD \u0219i s\u0103-i prezinte lui Sorin Grindeanu programul de guvernare. Politica are uneori o memorie foarte scurt\u0103. Dar alteori trebuie s\u0103 r\u0103spunzi pentru ce ai scos pe gur\u0103 (\u0219i pe Facebook). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0218i politica e logic\u0103<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Rom\u00e2nia nu a ajuns ieri \u00een aceast\u0103 situa\u021bie. Pre\u0219edintele a avut suficient timp pentru consult\u0103ri, calcule \u0219i negocieri. Dup\u0103 at\u00e2ta a\u0219teptare, a ajuns la Siegfried Mure\u0219an. Dac\u0103 exist\u0103 64 de voturi care pot fi aduse l\u00e2ng\u0103 PNL\u2013USR\u2013UDMR, le vom vedea \u00een Parlament. Dar dac\u0103 nu exist\u0103? \u0218tia sau nu \u0219tia pre\u0219edintele c\u0103 Siegfried Mure\u0219an nu are \u0219anse s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i treac\u0103 guvernul? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dup\u0103 un eventual e\u0219ec Mure\u0219an, PSD va avea toate motivele s\u0103 cear\u0103 func\u021bia de premier. Iar Sorin Grindeanu este numele care apare firesc \u00eentr-un asemenea scenariu. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cu cine ar putea guverna? Cu AUR? Matematic poate deveni o discu\u021bie. Dar AUR cere alegeri anticipate, iar diferen\u021bele dintre cele dou\u0103 partide sunt importante.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Desemnarea lui Sorin Grindeanu ar putea duce la formarea unui guvern suficint de stabil. O coali\u021bie format\u0103 din PSD\u2013PNL\u2013UDMR. Ar fi o majoritate care s-ar \u00eencadra f\u0103r\u0103 probleme \u00een defini\u021bia unui guvern prooccidental. Aceast\u0103 coali\u021bie ar l\u0103sa USR \u00een afara guvern\u0103rii. Iar \u00een PNL ar \u00eencepe inevitabil rea\u0219ezarea raporturilor de putere. Adic\u0103, sl\u0103birea lui Ilie Bolojan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Este acesta planul? Greu de r\u0103spuns. <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Dar dac\u0103 dup\u0103 un e\u0219ec al lui Mure\u0219an, ajungem la un premier PSD \u0219i la o majoritate PSD\u2013PNL\u2013UDMR, va trebui s\u0103 ne \u00eentoarcem la momentul de ast\u0103zi \u0219i s\u0103 \u00eentreb\u0103m: dac\u0103 aceast\u0103 majoritate era posibil\u0103 dup\u0103 Mure\u0219an, de ce n-a fost posibil\u0103 \u00eenaintea lui? Avea nevoie pre\u0219edintele s\u0103 scoat\u0103 USR din guvern cu m\u00e2na partidelor? Dac\u0103 da, de ce?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Care sunt mizele acestui joc? Desigur, accesul la p\u00e2rghiile puterii. \u0218i to\u021bi actorii joac\u0103 ceva. PSD vrea ca num\u0103rul s\u0103u de parlamentari s\u0103 se traduc\u0103 \u00eentr-un rol pe m\u0103sur\u0103 la guvernare \u0219i vrea func\u021bia de premier. PNL \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 indispensabil oric\u0103rei majorit\u0103\u021bi. USR \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 la guvernare. UDMR are suficiente mandate pentru a putea conta \u00een construirea unei majorit\u0103\u021bi. Iar \u00een interiorul PNL exist\u0103 \u0219i o miz\u0103 proprie: c\u00e2t\u0103 influen\u021b\u0103 va mai avea Ilie Bolojan dac\u0103 formula actual\u0103 e\u0219ueaz\u0103?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dar peste toate acestea domne\u0219te pre\u0219edintele.<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

El desemneaz\u0103 premierul. Nu poate produce voturile din Parlament, dar poate influen\u021ba ordinea \u00een care sunt \u00eencercate diferitele formule de guvernare. De aceea conteaz\u0103 enorm nu doar pe cine desemneaz\u0103, ci \u0219i momentul \u00een care desemneaz\u0103. Pentru c\u0103 \u0219i pre\u0219edintele acesta mai are dreptul la un mandat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dac\u0103 USR va ie\u0219i acum de la guvernare, partidul va ajunge din nou \u00een opozi\u021bie. Iar opozi\u021bia poate eroda un partid, dar \u00eei poate oferi \u0219i posibilitatea de a se reconstrui electoral f\u0103r\u0103 povara guvern\u0103rii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ce rela\u021bie va avea atunci USR cu Nicu\u0219or Dan? Va deveni – din nou – principalul s\u0103u sprijin politic? \u00cel va sus\u021bine la urm\u0103toarele alegeri preziden\u021biale dac\u0103 va candida pentru al doilea mandat? Sunt \u00eentreb\u0103ri la care ast\u0103zi nu avem r\u0103spunsuri. Dar sunt \u00eentreb\u0103ri legitime atunci c\u00e2nd \u00eencerc\u0103m s\u0103 \u00een\u021belegem mizele unei crize politice care dureaz\u0103 de prea mult\u0103 vreme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sigur, se poate \u00eent\u00e2mpla ca Siegfried Mure\u0219an s\u0103 g\u0103seasc\u0103 cele 64 de voturi. Atunci, multe dintre \u00eentreb\u0103rile de mai sus vor primi un r\u0103spuns. Dar dac\u0103 nu le g\u0103se\u0219te? Atunci s-ar putea ca adev\u0103rata explica\u021bie a desemn\u0103rii lui Siegfried Mure\u0219an s\u0103 nu fie ceea ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 cu el, ci ceea ce va \u00eent\u00e2mpla dup\u0103 el.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Foto: presidency.ro<\/a>. Siegfried Mure\u0219an a lipsit de la consult\u0103rile PNL cu pre\u0219edintele.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Siegfried Mure\u0219an este premier desemnat. Are trei partide \u00een spate. Numai c\u0103 cele trei partide nu au suficiente voturi pentru a-l face premier. Mure\u0219an are zece zile s\u0103 ajung\u0103 \u00een Parlament \u0219i s\u0103 cear\u0103 votul de \u00eenvestitur\u0103. Dar PNL, USR \u0219i UDMR au \u00eempreun\u0103 169 de parlamentari. Pentru \u00eenvestirea Guvernului sunt necesare 233 de voturi. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18685,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[1788,5148,3304,1822,626,3689,625,5132,189,1961],"class_list":["post-18674","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-opinii","tag-aur","tag-desemnare","tag-nicusor-dan","tag-partide-politice","tag-pnl","tag-premier","tag-psd","tag-siegfried-muresan","tag-udmr","tag-usr"],"yoast_head":"\nSiegfried Mure\u0219an, jocul politic \u0219i majoritatea care nu exist\u0103<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Siegfried Mure\u0219an nu are majoritate. 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